Although it’s difficult to forecast too far in advance, meteorologists for Environment Canada and The Weather Network predict it’s going to be a warmer and drier than average fall.
The Weather Network unveiled its fall forecast Tuesday, with meteorologist Dayna Vettese forecasting near normal to slightly above normal temperatures for September, October and November.
Precipitation is also expected to be at or near average for the same period, she said during a phone interview.
“We take a look at what the summer has been like and what the weather patterns have been doing in order to determine what the fall will look like,” said Vettese.
What Vettese discovered is regions across Canada have been hit with “blocking patterns” or extended periods of the same weather.
She said B.C. experienced blocks of above average temperatures and below normal precipitation while Ontario, Manitoba and Quebec had the exact opposite.
Vettese expects this same pattern will persist until the end of November.
“We’re expecting continued stretches of the same type of weather,” she said.
The Environment Canada forecast isn’t all that different, with meteorologist Doug Lundquist also saying the region can expect some better than average weather.
“Fall tends to be quite a dry season here,” said Lundquist.
He cautions that forecasts can change daily and warmer than usual doesn’t mean there won’t be periods of cool weather, too.
August is a prime example, he said. For the most part, the month has been hotter and drier than usual. However, the recent shift to cool and wet weather could mean August 2013 is recorded in history as rather ordinary.
Temperature wise, a normal Kamloops fall sees daytime highs go from 24 C in September down to 3 C by the end of the November, said Lundquist.
According to The Weather Network, an average of 30 millimetres of rain falls in Kamloops during September. Vettese said precipitation is split by November, with about 15 mm of rain and 10 centimetres of snow recorded for the month.